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With 73,879 metric tons landed to date, the regional fishing fleet has fulfilled 32.3% of the target forecast

Russian Far East Wild Salmon Season Progressing 61% Below Baseline Levels

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Friday, August 14, 2026, 00:10 (GMT + 9)

Kamchatka Leads Regional Harvests with Nearly Two-Thirds of the Total in a Season Marked by Pink Salmon Deceleration

Commercial Pacific salmon fishing in the Russian Far East is experiencing a marked slowdown compared to previous cycles. According to the latest data from the Russian Federal Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (VNIRO), cumulative landings reached 73,879 metric tons through August 11, 2026, reflecting a 60.9% decrease compared to the reference periods used for biological and fisheries evaluation.

The official methodology establishes differentiated baseline periods based on species biology: for pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), comparison data is drawn from the 2024 season, whereas for all other Pacific salmon species, the reference corresponds to the 2025 cycle.

The volume landed to date is dominated by three main species:

  • Pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha): 38,571 metric tons, accounting for 52.2% of the cumulative total.

  • Chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta): 17,779 metric tons, equivalent to 24.1% of regional production.

  • Sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka): 17,053 metric tons, representing 23.1%.

These figures are supplemented by smaller contributions of coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) at 283 metric tons, chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) at 148 metric tons, and masu salmon (Oncorhynchus masou) at 45 metric tons.

Kamchatka Maintains Dominance in the Fishing Sector

The Kamchatka Peninsula consolidates its strategic position in the eastern fishery by concentrating 47,635 metric tons, a figure representing 64.5% of the total harvested across the macro-strategic Russian Far East region. The breakdown by species in this territorial entity shows 19,965 metric tons of pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), 16,193 metric tons of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka), and 11,117 metric tons of chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta), alongside 198 metric tons of coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch), 148 metric tons of chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha), and 14 metric tons of masu (Oncorhynchus masou).

At a considerable distance follows Khabarovsk Krai, with a cumulative total of 14,908 metric tons, followed by Sakhalin Oblast with 7,042 metric tons. Meanwhile, Magadan Oblast accounts for 2,966 metric tons, Primorsky Krai reaches 1,011 metric tons, and the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug records 317 metric tons.

The strong concentration of harvest volume in Kamchatka underscores the heavy reliance of the salmon industry on the biological yield of its primary continental and coastal river basins.

Daily Catch Trends and Pink Salmon Contraction

On the day preceding the August 11, 2026 report, fleet operations added 924 metric tons to the regional total. This daily increase was primarily driven by pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), which contributed 603 metric tons, and chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta), with 304 metric tons. Sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) and coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) registered 10 metric tons and 7 metric tons, respectively.

Despite this short-term uptick, the cumulative deficit remains pronounced across all fishing jurisdictions:

  • Khabarovsk: decline of 71.2% relative to the reference period.

  • Sakhalin: contraction of 70.2%.

  • Kamchatka: reduction of 63.0%.

  • Magadan: drop of 61.2%.

  • Primorye: decrease of 43.8%.

Pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), the backbone of commercial fishing in the North Pacific, is experiencing the most severe downturn. The 38,571 metric tons landed so far contrast sharply with the 120,271 metric tons achieved during the 2024 baseline cycle, marking a 67.9% reduction.

Scientific Forecasts and Outlook for the Second Half of the Season

Despite the slow pace observed in catches, VNIRO maintains an adjusted harvest forecast of 229,028 metric tons for the full 2026 fishing season. Official projections encompass potential catches of:

  • 108,932 metric tons of pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)

  • 70,975 metric tons of chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta)

  • 37,642 metric tons of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka)

  • 10,785 metric tons of coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch)

  • 500 metric tons of chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)

  • 194 metric tons of masu salmon (Oncorhynchus masou)

With 73,879 metric tons landed to date, the regional fishing fleet has fulfilled 32.3% of the target forecast. VNIRO researchers introduced a slight upward adjustment of 2,000 metric tons to the expected quota for chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta), representing a marginal 0.9% revision to the overall forecast.

The final outcome of the fishery will depend heavily on oceanographic conditions in the coming weeks. Hydroclimatic models analyzing sea surface temperatures, thermal front distributions, and meteorological trends between August 13 and August 18 will determine whether a massive migration of salmon schools toward coastal areas and river spawning grounds materializes. For now, the sector remains focused on developments in Kamchatka and the potential recovery of pink and chum salmon catch rates during the second half of the campaign.

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🇯🇵 日本語 (Japanese Version) | AIによる自動翻訳

ロシア極東の天然サケ漁獲量、基準レベルを61%下回るペースで推移

カムチャツカが地域全体の約3分の2を占めるも、カラフトマスの不振により低調な漁期が続く

ロシア極東における太平洋サケの商業漁獲は、過去の周期と比較して著しい減速傾向を示しています。全ロシア水産海洋研究所VNIRO)の最新データによると、2026年8月11日時点の水揚げ累計は73,879トンに達したものの、生物学的および漁業評価に用いられる基準期間と比較して60.9%の減少となっています。

公式な評価手法では、魚種の生態に基づいた独自の基準期間を設定しています。カラフトマス(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)については2024年の漁期と比較し、その他の太平洋サケ類については2025年の周期を基準としています。

現時点で水揚げされた漁獲量は、主に以下の主要3魚種で構成されています。

  • カラフトマスOncorhynchus gorbuscha):38,571トン(累計全体の52.2%

  • シロザケOncorhynchus keta):17,779トン(地域全生産量の24.1%

  • ベニザケOncorhynchus nerka):17,053トン(全体の23.1%

これに加え、ギンザケ(Oncorhynchus kisutch)が283トン、マスノスケ(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)が148トン、サクラマス(Oncorhynchus masou)が45トン記録されています。

カムチャツカが水産業において主導的地位を維持

カムチャツカ半島は、広大なロシア極東地域全体で記録された総漁獲量の64.5%に相当する47,635トンを集中させ、東部漁業における戦略的地位を堅持しています。同行政区域における魚種別内訳は、カラフトマス(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)が19,965トン、ベニザケ(Oncorhynchus nerka)が16,193トン、シロザケ(Oncorhynchus keta)が11,117トンとなっており、さらにギンザケ(Oncorhynchus kisutch)が198トン、マスノスケ(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)が148トン、サクラマス(Oncorhynchus masou)が14トンとなっています。

これに大きく離れてハバロフスク地方が累計14,908トンで続き、サハリン州7,042トンとなっています。また、マガダン州2,966トン沿海地方(プリモリェ)は1,011トンチュコト自治管区317トンを記録しています。

カムチャツカへの漁獲量の高い集中は、サケ産業が主要な大陸および沿岸河川流域の生物学的生産力に強く依存していることを浮き彫りにしています。

日別漁獲動向とカラフトマスの大幅な減少

2026年8月11日のレポート発表前日における漁船団の操業により、地域の累計漁獲量に924トンが追加されました。この日別増加分は、主に603トンを産出したカラフトマス(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)と、304トンを産出したシロザケ(Oncorhynchus keta)によって牽引されました。ベニザケ(Oncorhynchus nerka)とギンザケ(Oncorhynchus kisutch)はそれぞれ10トンおよび7トンの増加にとどまりました。

この短期的な微増にもかかわらず、すべての漁業管区において累計の減産傾向が顕著となっています。

  • ハバロフスク地方:基準期間比71.2%減

  • サハリン州:70.2%減

  • カムチャツカ州:63.0%減

  • マガダン州:61.2%減

  • 沿海地方:43.8%減

太平洋における商業漁業の主軸であるカラフトマス(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)は、最も深刻な落ち込みを見せています。これまでに水揚げされた38,571トンは、2024年の基準周期に記録された120,271トンと比較して著しく低く、67.9%の減少となっています。

科学的予測と漁期後半への展望

漁獲の伸び悩みが見られるものの、VNIRO2026年漁期全体の修正予測値として229,028トンを維持しています。公式の予測では以下の漁獲見込みが含まれています。

  • カラフトマス(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha):108,932トン

  • シロザケ(Oncorhynchus keta):70,975トン

  • ベニザケ(Oncorhynchus nerka):37,642トン

  • ギンザケ(Oncorhynchus kisutch):10,785トン

  • マスノスケ(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha):500トン

  • サクラマス(Oncorhynchus masou):194トン

現在までに水揚げされた73,879トンにより、地域の漁船団は予測目標の32.3%を達成したことになります。VNIROの研究者は、シロザケ(Oncorhynchus keta)の予想配分量を2,000トン上方修正し、全体目標に対して0.9%の微調整を行いました。

最終的な漁獲結果は、今後の数週間における海洋条件に大きく依存します。海面水温、熱フロントの分布、および8月13日から8月18日までの気象予測を分析する水文気候モデルが、沿岸域および河川産卵場へのサケの移動が加速するかどうかを左右することになります。現在、業界はカムチャツカでの動向と、漁期後半におけるカラフトマスおよびシロザケの捕獲率の回復可能性に注目しています。


🇨🇳 中文 (Simplified Chinese Version) | 由人工智能自动翻译

俄罗斯远东野生鲑鱼捕捞季进展显著滞后 较基准水平下降61%

堪察加捕捞量占该地区近三分之二 粉鲑捕捞放缓成为主要影响因素

与以往周期相比,俄罗斯远东地区的商业太平洋鲑鱼捕捞进展出现明显放缓。根据全俄海洋渔业与海洋学研究所VNIRO)的最新数据,截至2026年8月11日,累计卸货量达到73,879吨,与用于生物及渔业评估的基准期相比下降了60.9%

官方评估方法根据鱼类生物学特性设定了差异化的比较基准:粉鲑(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)的数据与2024年产季进行对比,而其他太平洋鲑鱼品种则以2025年周期为参考。

截至目前,卸货量主要由三个主要品种构成:

  • 粉鲑Oncorhynchus gorbuscha):38,571吨,占累计总量的52.2%

  • 大麻哈鱼Oncorhynchus keta):17,779吨,相当于该地区总产量的24.1%

  • 红鲑Oncorhynchus nerka):17,053吨,占23.1%

此外,银鲑(Oncorhynchus kisutch)贡献了283吨,大马哈鱼/帝王鲑(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha)为148吨,樱鲑(Oncorhynchus masou)为45吨

堪察加继续主导水产捕捞行业

堪察加半岛集中了47,635吨的捕捞量,占俄罗斯远东宏观战略区域总捕捞量的64.5%,巩固了其在东部渔业中的战略地位。该行政区划的按品种划分数据如下:粉鲑(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha19,965吨,红鲑(Oncorhynchus nerka16,193吨,大麻哈鱼(Oncorhynchus keta11,117吨,银鲑(Oncorhynchus kisutch198吨,大马哈鱼/帝王鲑(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha148吨,以及樱鲑(Oncorhynchus masou14吨

紧随其后的是哈巴罗夫斯克边疆区,累计捕捞14,908吨萨哈林州7,042吨。此外,马加丹州录得2,966吨滨海边疆区达到1,011吨楚科奇自治区317吨

捕捞量的高度集中凸显了鲑鱼产业对堪察加主要大陆及沿海河流流域生物产出的高度依赖。

每日捕捞趋势与粉鲑产量大幅缩减

2026年8月11日报告发布前的一天,船队作业为该地区累计捕捞量增加了924吨。这一单日增长主要由粉鲑(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)推动(贡献603吨),其次是大麻哈鱼(Oncorhynchus keta)(贡献304吨)。红鲑(Oncorhynchus nerka)和银鲑(Oncorhynchus kisutch)分别增加了10吨7吨

尽管出现短期回升,但所有捕捞辖区的累计缺口依然显著:

  • 哈巴罗夫斯克:较基准期下降71.2%

  • 萨哈林:下降70.2%

  • 堪察加:减少63.0%

  • 马加丹:下降61.2%

  • 滨海:减少43.8%

作为北太平洋商业捕捞支柱的粉鲑(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha)遭遇了最严重的减产。目前捕捞的38,571吨2024年基准周期取得的120,271吨形成鲜明对比,降幅达67.9%

科学预测与下半产季展望

尽管捕捞增长缓慢,VNIRO仍维持2026年整个捕捞季229,028吨的修正预测值。官方预测包括以下潜在捕捞量:

  • 粉鲑(Oncorhynchus gorbuscha):108,932吨

  • 大麻哈鱼(Oncorhynchus keta):70,975吨

  • 红鲑(Oncorhynchus nerka):37,642吨

  • 银鲑(Oncorhynchus kisutch):10,785吨

  • 大马哈鱼/帝王鲑(Oncorhynchus tshawytscha):500吨

  • 樱鲑(Oncorhynchus masou):194吨

随着目前已卸货的73,879吨,该地区渔业船队已完成了预测目标的大约32.3%VNIRO的研究人员对大麻哈鱼(Oncorhynchus keta)的预估配额进行了2,000吨的上调,使总体预测微调了约0.9%

渔业的最终结果将高度取决于未来几周的海洋学状况。分析8月13日至8月18日期间海面温度、海洋锋分布及气象预报的水文气候模型,将决定鲑鱼群向沿海及河流产卵场洄游是否会加速。目前,行业焦点集中在堪察加的发展动向以及产季下半段粉鲑和大麻哈鱼捕捞率可能出现的恢复。

editorial@seafood.media
www.seafood.media


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